Friday, 21 March 2014
Tuesday, 18 March 2014
Contemporary Issues in international Finance 2 - crowdfunding extansion Research
Contemporary Issues in International
Finance 2
-
Crowdfunding
extension research
In previous
blog, I have brief talking about the crowdfunding regulation in America.
However, technology development is existed in all over the world. Except
America, some other countries, such as China, does not have specific regulation
for crowdfunding. Therefore, this blog would compare the crowdfunding between
America and China to study the further development of those emerging country.
Previous
review: crowdfunding is firstly regard
as likely illegal funding and turn to regular after Jumpstart Our Business
Startups Act regulation has been signed in 2012.
Then, in
current China, Crowdfunding has similar threaten as regarding as illegal
funding. From current Chinese Corporation Law, exceeding 200 people nongovernmental
funding would regard as illegal funding. Then, some current crowdfunding
corporation are limited under that regulation which would not develop well. After comparing several differences between
Chinese financial market and American financial market which would be discussed
in the following, the reason of low ebb around crowdfunding in China might be
got.
Firstly, funding
environment is different. Comparing complicated and polybasic funding market in
America, there are few funding methods in China, in particular for micro-corporations
and creation corporations. Therefore, crowdfunding would be possible developed rapidly
in China.
However, as credit
system is different, crowdfunding development would be limited in China. There
is perfect and mature credit regulation, organization to support financial
activities in America. However, this kind of system is typically weak in China.
For investors, the credit of project starters and crowdfunding corporations is
significant. Then, some swindle crowdfunding corporations are frequent exist
recently in China. Therefore, crowdfunding in China could not develop well the
same as America. Even though, there are some licenses are made by Chinese
government to help investors distinguish relatively trusted corporations. As
the weaken credit system, it is difficult for government and central bank
themselves to distinguish some fresh corporations.
Moreover, the
differences in regulation environment would be the significant reason to show
the limitation of crowdfunding in China. In 2012, America set up a Jumpstart
Our Business Startups Act to crowdfunding exemption. However, there isn’t any
specific regulation for crowdfunding in China although Chinese government shows
some support and positive view on crowdfunding future development. Moreover,
current regulations are limiting the development of crowdfunding.
Except
crowdfunding, there are some more technological and financial related area has
been unified and named as internet finance in China (Xie & Zou, 2012). In
China, some experts defined internet finance in 6 patterns, such as Peer-to-Peer
lending, big data finance, crowdfunding, the third part payment, internet
finance website and technological financial organization. The other five
internet finance situation is similar as crowdfunding in China. First of all, according
to the China Development Bank (2013), Chinese government have promoted
financial inclusion system by the “Decision of the CPC Central Committee on
Several Major Issues Concerning the Comprehensive Deepening of Reforms”
announced at the Third Plenary Session of the 18th CPC Central
Committee. To make finance inclusive, internet finance could be used as a popular
and simplified finance model (Xie & Zou, 2012). However, according to the
Economist (2014), some revolute financial system like internet finance could be
hard to survive in some complicated environment, such as China, as its
difficult control. Thus, internet
finance has well finance but currently limited.
All in all, beside crowdfunding, internet
finance would have good prospect in China but regulations should be established
as soon as possible.
Bibliography:
Cdb,. (n.d.). CHINA DEVELOPMENT BANK.
Retrieved 18 March 2014, from http://www.cdb.com.cn/english/NewsInfo.asp?NewsId=4886
The Economist,. (2014). Foe or
frenemy?. Retrieved 18 March 2014, from
http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21597966-chinas-giant-banks-are-under-attack-foe-or-frenemy
Thinksaas,. (2014). differences between
America and China in Crowdfunding. Retrieved 18 March 2014, from http://www.thinksaas.cn/news/show/5471/
Xie, P., & Zou, C. (2012). Internet
financial model research. Financial Research.
Saturday, 8 March 2014
Contemporary Issues in International Finance 1 - crowdfunding class case based analysis
Contemporary Issues
in International Finance 1
-
Class Case (Kick Starter) based analysis
General knowledge introduction
Kickstarter is a Crowd Funding platform which is stated
mission is to help bring creative projects to life. People who back Kickstarter
projects are offered tangible rewards and special experiences in exchange for
their pledges (Kickstarter, n.d.).
Crowdfunding is the practice of
funding a project or venture by raising many small amounts of money from a
large number of people, typically via the Internet (Oxford Dictionary, n.d.).
After Kickstarter lauched in 2009, there is a furious debating on that
website as it seems to be illegality funding with high success project’s rate. On
the one hand, the New York Times (2011) called Kickstarter "the people's
NEA" as well as the Time named it one of the "Best Inventions of
2010" and "Best Websites of 2011" (McCracken, 2011). Other other
hand, as the high subscribe rate in Kickstarter, some projects may exceed 100
thousands people to invest it which become the typical irregular funding case. Moreover,
as Kickstarter is different from P2P
pattern which has been control by current laws, Kickstarter is exceed the all of exemption regulation in
America. However, in America, the Crowdfunding situation has been efficient control
since Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act regulation has been signed in 2012 (Goins
& Little, 2014). After its specific regulation has been set up,
Crowdfunding are generally turned into a normal and regular pattern in current
financial market.
Class case reflection
Based on previous brief introduction and regular analysis on crowdfunding,
some further ideas related to crowdfunding based on Kickstarter case are got after
class study. In the international finance and financial management seminar, we
have been separated into four teams and create our projects to crowdfunding
from other classmates. Four teams would be generally classified to 4 types of
projects: innovation technology, computer games, electric project, shoes
creation project. First of all, after comparing with four projects, there is
another regular could be found around this area. In the seminar, an innovation technology
project related to translation is the most popularity project in that class.
Moreover, it could be found that, the more life related projects win more
investors’ attention. Then, although,
according to Kickstarter (2014), it seems that most of projects in Kickstarter
are related to arts, such as: films, music, stage shows, comics, journalism,
video games and food-related projects. From the class projects, it seems that
some projects related to computer and high technology could be the primary
elements of crowdfunding. However, this
kind of structure basis of crowdfunding may increasing to risk impact of
crowfunding and lead financial crisis. According to Galbraith and Hale (2004), there
is a typical risk could be found in technology based company which called ‘the
dot-com bubble’. It seems that the value
rise of technological corporations is rapidly, but it maintain high risk and
would lead to financial crisis. For example, the collapse of the bubble took
place during 1999-2001. In that period, some corporations like Pets com is
completely failed, some corporations like Cisco has declined lots of value but
remain stable and profitable as well as some corporations like Amazon.com has
reduced a lot but recovery and exceed
several years later. Then, combining with the crowdfunding risk on trust
security, the high risk of technology project in crowdfunding should be
challenged, highly paid attentions and study in following financial study.
References:
Galbraith, J., & Hale, T. (2004).
Income distribution and the information technology bubble.
Goins, T., & Little, E. (2014). Crowdfunding. Investment Lawyer, 21(1),
3-7.
Kickstarter,. (2014). One Billion
Dollars. Retrieved 16 March 2014, from
https://www.kickstarter.com/1billion?ref=promo&ref=PromoNewsletterMar0314
Oxford dictionaries,. (n.d.).
crowdfunding: definition of crowdfunding in Oxford dictionary (British &
World English). Retrieved 16 March 2014, from http://www.oxforddictionaries.com/definition/english/crowdfunding
McCracken, H. (2011). I just discovered
Kickstarter on TIME's list of Best Websites. Explore it and more must-see sites
on TIME.com. TIME. Retrieved 16 March 2014, from
http://content.time.com/time/specials/packages/article/0,28804,2087815_2088176_2088182,00.html
WALKER, R. (2011). Log In - The New
York Times. Nytimes. Retrieved 16 March 2014, from http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/07/magazine/the-trivialities-and-transcendence-of-kickstarter.html?pagewanted=all&_r=0
Monday, 3 March 2014
International Business Investment Opportunities: International Merger and Acquisitions (Facebook case analysis)
Facebook: Facebook is an online social networking service to connect people with friends and others who work, study and live around them.
Whatsapp: Whatsapp is a proprietar, cross-platform instant messaging subscription service for smartphones. In addition to text messaging, users can send each other images, video, and audio media messages as well as their location using integrated mapping features.
On Feburary 19th, Facebook founder Mark Zuckerberg make a full statement to announce that Facebook have agreed to acquire Whatsapp in a deal worth a total of $19bn in cash and shares.
From above table, Facebook have already merger 10 companies. However, Whatsapp is the largest merger case in Facebook acquisition history. It should be mentioned that Whatsapp acquisition is not the first over value merger case. There is another merger case on Facebook which is Facebook and Instagram merge in $1 bn on April 2012. At first, people thought that Facebook bought Instagram for its IPO. Moreover, the Instagram acquisition could be cared as another good case like Google merger Youtube. However, the slump on Facebook stock on May 2012 prove that those unseen profit technological corporations have high risk. From 1 billion photo quantity of Instagram on May 2012 and 0.4 billion every month active user of Whatsapp on December 2013, those two company seems to have high potential which could be a strong competitor of Facebook in the future. Therefore, those two merger cases are seems that Facebook is eliminating its predicting competitors by acquisition. Although Whatsapp have high potential, $ 19 bn of Whatsapp acquisition is too much. What benefit could bring from Whatsapp acquisition?
Are target firms poor performers?
As Facebook and Whatsapp are both on network social service, its active user is its value. There are 1 billion active users of Facebook on September 2012 and 90 million active users of Whatsapp on January 2013. That is to say, Facebook active user is much more than Whatsapp. According to Arnold (2008, p888), Whatsapp could increase its profitability from this acquisition.
Do the shareholders of acquires gain from mergers?
Although, as the influence of privacy problem, Facebook stock price is mainly increasing since 19th Feburary.
Do target shareholders gain from mergers?
In Facebook & Whatsapp acquisition, the biggest winner should be Sequoia Capita which is Whatsapp shareholder. As Whatsapp has been financing just 1 million and Facebook merger Whatsapp on $19 billion, it could be brief calculated that Sequoia Capita would gain $1.6 billion which is 200 times of it initial investment if Sequoia Capita hold 10% Whatsapp shares.
Do the employees gain?
According to Facebook(2014) statement, “the agreement also provides for an additional $3 billion in restricted stck units to be granted to Whatsapp’s founders and employees that will vest over four years subsequent to closing.” That is to say, early employees reported have 1 percent stakes, which yields each of them $160 million each.
Do the directors of the acquirer gain?
As Facebook & Whatsapp acquisition case is the biggest acquisition in network industry, Mark Zuckerberg would gain more reputation from that.
Do the directors of the target gain?
Whatsapp CEO Jan Koum owns a 45% equity stake, which makes him worth $6.8 billion while cofounder Brain Acton gets $3 billion for his 20 percent stake.
Do the financial innsitutions gain?
As Facebook & Whatsapp acquisition case is the biggest acquisition in network industry, both Facebook adviser (Allen & Co. And Weil, Gotshal & Manes) and Whatsapp adviser (Fenwick & West) could possible gain reputation from that.
Does society benefit from mergers?
As Facebook would connect with Whatsapp in the future, the progress of social service would fast as two corporation technology and resources would link together.
The popularization and importance of instant message would be paid more attention to. For example, Blackberry was increasing its stock price from $9.01 on Feb. 21st 2014 to $10.04 on Mar. 6th 2014 as its BBM could possible have high value under Whatsapp high acquisition consideration.
However, from the 3.09% Tencent stock price decreasing on 20th March 2014, another competitor of Facebook (Wechat) was threaten by this acquisition as Instagram has high utilization in emerging country in particular China and Facebook originally has not.
It should be mentioned that Facebook & Whatsapp acquisition has been challenged as this case is going against Whatsapp privacy protection regulation. Many user of Whatsapp are worried that their personal privacy would threaten by this acquisition. In addition, as Facebook is continued merger its competitors could have an effect on network social service mnopolization. Therefore, both Facebook and Whatsapp could be the winner of this acquisition without their users.
At last, although, the sum of acquisition is too much and network industry has high risk, comparing with the similar acquistion on Instagram, Instagram has a huge increasing progress and provides electric advertising business profit for facebook which may show a positive expect.
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